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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Glimmer of Good News for Romney in Latest Ohio Polling: Bellwether State's Republicans See Him With Best Chance of Beating Obama

Ohio Republicans See A Bunch of Losers
CINCINNATI (TDB) -- The numbers from the Quinnipiac University survey of  847 likely GOP voters in the Buckeye State give Mitt Romney a selling point ahead of next week's March 6 presidential primary.  He's got the highest percentage of Republicans who think he will be the strongest candidate against President Obama in November.   Forty percent of GOPers see him as being able to reclaim the White House -- nobody else in the primary field comes close.  By slight margins, even born-again evangelicals and Tea Party supporters give Romney the best chance of defeating the president.   And 35% of those who identify themselves as conservatives give Romney the edge over the current primary field.  Still, none of them are seen as able to whip Obama. When the pollsters asked Ohioans, "Who do you think would be the strongest Republican candidate to run against President Obama in the general election?" these numbers came back:

Newt Gingrich -- 16%
Ron Paul -- 6%
Romney -- 40%
Santorum -- 25%
Don't Know/NA -- 13%

That dataset makes clear that perplexed Ohio Republicans now view their entire crop of presidential hopefuls as a bunch of losers, with Romney the top of the lot.  He's the only one with a selling point -- I'm not as bad as the rest -- and it can be spun to show that Republicans must pick him if they want to avoid being crushed.  Romney, of course, badly needs something to get his campaign in a grove.  He is struggling to win the Michigan primary today against former Pennsylvania Sen. Rich Santorum, and the outcome of that race is going to set the tone for the next week of campaigning ahead of Super Tuesday.  Romney won't be knocked out of the race if he loses to Santorum, but he'll be bailing to keep from going under and looking for the lifejackets.  Ohio is a critical state in presidential elections -- it's a given that nobody can win the nation's highest office without winning Ohio.  So the Quinnipiac polling Feb. 23-26 can be used as an inducement to bring reluctant Republicans into the Romney fold.

At the moment, Santorum has a 7-point lead over Romney in Ohio.  That has been unchanged since mid-February.  Santorum has not been able to build on his momentum, and hardly any Republicans think he can be elected president.  The Ohio GOP has to be asking itself:  How did this happen, where did these guys come from, can we recover?


  1. I wish they would measure Sarah Palin and Jeb
    Bush vs. Obama. I'd like to see those matchup numbers. I'm a Republican who feels like she is riding the Titanic to its fate.

    1. We are headed into pack ice and are going to sink unless somebody takes the helm. I see four more miserable years with Obama. Glug, glug, glug, the country is going under.

  2. Why can't I find this at

  3. I want the old GOP back. The one that didn't care about what your religion was and there was no litmus test of your stand on contraception/abortion. They've gone too far afield and become too simplistic. Nothing against the rich, but Romney's too slick and came from Wall St. Nothing against christians, but separate church and state. Nothing against grandstanding (obviously), but the economy IS slowly getting better after the last Bush Administration just completely fucked things up. To sum up: This GOP is dying and something new...something better and not so focued on inside the beltway...needs to happen. Whether it's DEM or REP or Green or whatever, those notions of fairness, equality, peace and prosperity will win in the end.