Cincinnati's Population Total Plummets In 2010 Census: Meanwhile, City's Voter Registration Rolls Include Nearly Every Adult




  Census Finds 231,237 Adults 

  CINCINNATI (TDB) -- There is an interesting wrinkle in the 2010 Census data that sets Cincinnati's population at 296,943 residents.  Nearly all of them -- 231,237 -- are adults over age 18.  And if the federal Census is correct, that means other records show 91% of Cincinnati's adults are registered voters.  That is a huge bloc of citizens who have taken a step to become politically active -- perhaps a staggering or sobering number.  Some think the 91% number is a myth.  Or a fraud.  Others see it at as a signpost that Cincinnati Mayor Mark Mallory has a strong argument to make that Census officials dramatically under counted the city's residents.

A similar pattern holds true in Hamilton County, where the Census counted 612,734 adults.  Voting records show 567,629 are registered. Again, upwards of 90% of the county's adult population is politically active.  If the 90% number is anywhere close to being correct, then local officials and residents have been remarkably efficient in signing up voters.    

Mallory, a Democrat, has long argued that Cincinnati has been growing and adding new residents over the past decade.  He contends the city has at least 330,000 citizens, probably more.  The Census numbers released last week poured cold water on Mayor Mallory's math.  Cincinnati is supposed to have lost 10.4 % of its residents, among the nation's worst declines.  But The Daily Bellwether did some quick research and discovered today that almost all of the city's adults are registered voters at the Hamilton County Board of Elections.  According to the board, Hamilton County has 567,629 voters -- with 209,862 in Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Booster Group: Inflates Population To Make City Nation's 11th Largest

CINCINNATI (TDB) -- Even Cincinnati Mayor Mark Mallory -- who's been battling to raise the Census Bureau's headcount -- should be surprised to learn he leads the nation's 11th largest city. Foreigners are being told that Cincinnati has more residents than Detroit and is one-notch behind San Jose, Calif. as the nation's 10th largest city. That's the word spread across the globe by the International Visitors Council, an organization partly funded by the U.S State Department that is supposed to boost trade, tourism and educate foreign guests about American institutions.

As for "Greater Cincinnati" -- it's the "23rd largest city in the USA." Clearly intended as a reference to the metro area, it is pretty much on the money though quite awkwardly worded.

But the city data smells like pure boosterism run amok. The Visitor's Council for years has been falsely telling people the City of Cincinnati has about 900,000 residents living within its municipal boundaries. That makes it bigger than Detroit, San Francisco, Boston, Seattle and Washington, D.C. That makes it bigger than Columbus, Ohio's largest city according to the Census Bureau, and Cleveland, which is the state's second biggest city.

This population puffery has been uncovered at a time when Mayor Mallory has been complaining the Census Bureau's population estimates are too low. But he's not in the Visitor's Council's league. Mallory contends there are 378,259 people who live in his city. The Census says 332,252.

At 900,000, the Visitor's Center seems to believe they are both way off base. Of course, it's the other way around, and the boosters are the ones cooking the guestbooks. Some Japanese or European business leader might be tempted to believe the propaganda.

"Greater Cincinnati is a diverse, thriving and growing region with important historical roots and high-tech aspirations. Situated squarely at the intersection of three states, the Greater Cincinnati Metropolitan Area extends from the southwest corner of Ohio into northern Kentucky and southeastern Indiana. It includes 13 counties covering 3,810 square miles (6,135 sq. km).

"At its heart is the City of Cincinnati. Amidst the gently rolling hills along the Ohio River, Cincinnati is located in Hamilton County in the State of Ohio. The city covers 80 square miles (130 sq km). Approximately 900,000 people live within the limits of the city of Cincinnati. 1,982,530 live in the 13 county, 3 state Greater Cincinnati area."

A link to the wildly inflated population claim is here. It probably illustrates how overzealous boosterism leads to overstated economic claims. The mayor has been much more cautious in his descriptions of growth during the headcount wrangling with the Census Bureau. He says, "We have turned around 50 years of decline, and we are growing once again."

There are many who doubt the mayor. And who can accept the visitor's bureau's claim of 900,000?

The official Census Bureau population estimates for the nation's 25 largest cities doesn't have Cincinnati anywhere on the list. Indeed, Milwaukee is 25th with an estimated population of 573,336. That's nearly 200,000 more people than Mayor Mallory contends live in Cincinnati.